Analyze a stock
Open a company, examine available price history, research scenarios, and supporting evidence.
Open stock researchQuantitative research, built for evidence
Know the odds.
See the evidence.
Search a stock or record a trading hypothesis. Formalize and review the assumptions before creating an experiment. When compatible evidence exists, inspect temporal validation and stress-test results.
Explore a limited stock research preview before creating an account. Data availability and display permissions apply.
Evidence-first research. Not a trade recommendation. Estimates require eligible data and evaluation.
Inside the research workspace
A result is only the beginning.
Research projects12Versioned hypotheses and strategies
Completed backtests248Historical simulations only
Walk-forward studies36Fold-level results available
Resolved forward trades0No performance claim available
Opportunity research
Research onlyFixed five-session net-positive outcome · Synthetic examples
| Instrument | P(net positive) | Expected net return | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEMO-A | 63.4% | +0.18% | Watchlist |
| DEMO-B | 61.8% | +0.12% | Watchlist |
| DEMO-C | 58.9% | −0.03% | Abstain |
| DEMO-D | — | — | No estimate |
Selected experiment · Evidence
Momentum persistence / Experiment 017 / Version 3
- Data & strategy versions
- Pinned
- Walk-forward evaluation
- 6 folds completed
- Cost sensitivity
- 24 scenarios tested
- Final holdout
- Locked · unrevealed
- Probability calibration
- Review required
Backtest vs. benchmark
Synthetic indexed equity · Not forward performance
StrategyBenchmark
| Strategy | 2019 | 100 |
|---|---|---|
| Strategy | 2019.111111111111 | 102 |
| Strategy | 2019.2222222222222 | 101 |
| Strategy | 2019.3333333333333 | 103 |
| Strategy | 2019.4444444444443 | 101 |
| Strategy | 2019.5555555555557 | 104 |
| Strategy | 2019.6666666666667 | 102 |
| Strategy | 2019.7777777777778 | 104 |
| Strategy | 2019.888888888889 | 103 |
| Strategy | 2020 | 105 |
| Strategy | 2020.111111111111 | 104 |
| Strategy | 2020.2222222222222 | 102 |
| Strategy | 2020.3333333333333 | 103 |
| Strategy | 2020.4444444444443 | 105 |
| Strategy | 2020.5555555555557 | 102 |
| Strategy | 2020.6666666666667 | 104 |
| Strategy | 2020.7777777777778 | 102 |
| Strategy | 2020.888888888889 | 103 |
| Strategy | 2021 | 101 |
| Strategy | 2021.111111111111 | 102 |
| Strategy | 2021.2222222222222 | 100 |
| Strategy | 2021.3333333333333 | 101 |
| Strategy | 2021.4444444444443 | 99 |
| Strategy | 2021.5555555555557 | 101 |
| Strategy | 2021.6666666666667 | 99 |
| Strategy | 2021.7777777777778 | 102 |
| Strategy | 2021.888888888889 | 101 |
| Strategy | 2022 | 103 |
| Strategy | 2022.111111111111 | 102 |
| Strategy | 2022.2222222222222 | 102 |
| Strategy | 2022.3333333333333 | 103 |
| Strategy | 2022.4444444444443 | 104 |
| Strategy | 2022.5555555555557 | 103 |
| Strategy | 2022.6666666666667 | 104 |
| Strategy | 2022.7777777777778 | 103 |
| Strategy | 2022.888888888889 | 105 |
| Strategy | 2023 | 103 |
| Strategy | 2023.111111111111 | 104 |
| Strategy | 2023.2222222222222 | 103 |
| Strategy | 2023.3333333333333 | 105 |
| Strategy | 2023.4444444444443 | 106 |
| Strategy | 2023.5555555555557 | 108 |
| Strategy | 2023.6666666666667 | 107 |
| Strategy | 2023.7777777777778 | 109 |
| Strategy | 2023.888888888889 | 110 |
| Strategy | 2024 | 109 |
| Benchmark | 2019 | 100 |
| Benchmark | 2019.111111111111 | 101 |
| Benchmark | 2019.2222222222222 | 101 |
| Benchmark | 2019.3333333333333 | 102 |
| Benchmark | 2019.4444444444443 | 101 |
| Benchmark | 2019.5555555555557 | 102 |
| Benchmark | 2019.6666666666667 | 102 |
| Benchmark | 2019.7777777777778 | 103 |
| Benchmark | 2019.888888888889 | 104 |
| Benchmark | 2020 | 103 |
| Benchmark | 2020.111111111111 | 104 |
| Benchmark | 2020.2222222222222 | 104 |
| Benchmark | 2020.3333333333333 | 103 |
| Benchmark | 2020.4444444444443 | 104 |
| Benchmark | 2020.5555555555557 | 105 |
| Benchmark | 2020.6666666666667 | 105 |
| Benchmark | 2020.7777777777778 | 106 |
| Benchmark | 2020.888888888889 | 107 |
| Benchmark | 2021 | 108 |
| Benchmark | 2021.111111111111 | 107 |
| Benchmark | 2021.2222222222222 | 108 |
| Benchmark | 2021.3333333333333 | 107 |
| Benchmark | 2021.4444444444443 | 108 |
| Benchmark | 2021.5555555555557 | 109 |
| Benchmark | 2021.6666666666667 | 109 |
| Benchmark | 2021.7777777777778 | 110 |
| Benchmark | 2021.888888888889 | 110 |
| Benchmark | 2022 | 111 |
| Benchmark | 2022.111111111111 | 112 |
| Benchmark | 2022.2222222222222 | 113 |
| Benchmark | 2022.3333333333333 | 113 |
| Benchmark | 2022.4444444444443 | 114 |
| Benchmark | 2022.5555555555557 | 115 |
| Benchmark | 2022.6666666666667 | 116 |
| Benchmark | 2022.7777777777778 | 117 |
| Benchmark | 2022.888888888889 | 118 |
| Benchmark | 2023 | 118 |
| Benchmark | 2023.111111111111 | 119 |
| Benchmark | 2023.2222222222222 | 119 |
| Benchmark | 2023.3333333333333 | 118 |
| Benchmark | 2023.4444444444443 | 119 |
| Benchmark | 2023.5555555555557 | 120 |
| Benchmark | 2023.6666666666667 | 119 |
| Benchmark | 2023.7777777777778 | 120 |
| Benchmark | 2023.888888888889 | 119 |
| Benchmark | 2024 | 119 |
Calibration diagnostics
Synthetic temporal validation · Not an accuracy guarantee
IdealObserved
| Ideal | 0% | 0 |
|---|---|---|
| Ideal | 100% | 1 |
| Observed | 12% predicted, 16% observed | 0.16 |
| Observed | 25% predicted, 28% observed | 0.28 |
| Observed | 40% predicted, 36% observed | 0.36 |
| Observed | 53% predicted, 48% observed | 0.48 |
| Observed | 64% predicted, 59% observed | 0.59 |
| Observed | 76% predicted, 69% observed | 0.69 |
| Observed | 87% predicted, 79% observed | 0.79 |
Research assistant
Synthetic experiment explanation
Primary concernPerformance weakens as assumed trading costs rise. High-probability estimates need more unseen observations.
The final holdout remains sealed.
DEMO DATA · NOT INVESTMENT ADVICEZero resolved forward trades · No performance claim available
Actual WickArc chart and evidence components with deterministic example data. No customer records. No verified trading performance.
From question to evidence
One workspace.
More ways to challenge an idea.
Stock research, strategy testing, and evidence inspection—without treating a promising chart as proof.
Formalize a hypothesis
Record a market idea, formalize its assumptions, and review the specification before creating an experiment.
Open hypothesis workspaceChallenge the backtest
When compatible data and artifacts exist, compare temporal out-of-sample periods and walk-forward folds. Test sensitivity to parameters, costs, and market regimes.
Explore validationProbability with evidence
Inspect calibrated estimates only when the event, horizon, and evaluation evidence are eligible.
Understand probabilityNo edge is an answer
When evidence is weak or required inputs are missing, see no qualified setup—not a forced trade.
Understand abstentionResearch you can retrace
Keep dataset versions, strategy assumptions, experiment definitions, and evidence linked.
Follow the evidenceCapabilities depend on configured data and eligible artifacts. Automatic plain-language compilation is not currently enabled; review and experiment setup remain explicit.
The second question matters
Most tools show the backtest.
WickArc investigates whether
you should trust it.
A strong historical result is a hypothesis. Where the data and workflow support them, temporal out-of-sample evaluation, realistic assumptions, and contradictory evidence deserve a place beside it.
- 01Backtest
- 02Temporal OOS
- 03Stress
- 04Calibration
- 05Evidence
- 06Abstain if necessary
How it works
Start with curiosity.
Finish with something inspectable.
- 01
Search a stock or record an idea
Start with a company or a specific research question.
- 02
Formalize and review the experiment
Review the proposed data, horizon, strategy, costs, and measurable outcome before creating it.
- 03
Challenge the assumptions
When supported by the configured workflow, use temporal out-of-sample periods and stress scenarios while keeping the final holdout sealed.
- 04
Inspect the evidence
Review support, limitations, and whether the result warrants further research.
Built to make uncertainty visible
Less persuasion.
More provenance.
- Versioned research and assumptions
- Point-in-time-aware data handling
- Explicit out-of-sample separation
- Costs and execution assumptions shown
- Probabilities tied to defined events
- Insufficient evidence stays visible
Bring a question. Expect scrutiny.